Based on the structured data, Atromitos is predicted to win this match, with a slight edge over Panetolikos and a draw being equally likely. The market probabilities show a very close contest, with away win at 34%, draw at 33%, and home win at 33%, while the API-Football model strongly favors Atromitos with a 45% probability for away win and predicts them as the winner, aligning with the market's slight preference.
Form Analysis: Panetolikos has a form of DDWLL with a current 1-win streak, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, and no clean sheets in the last 5 games. Atromitos has a form of LDDWW with a current 1-win streak, also averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, and no clean sheets in the last 5. Both teams show similar offensive and defensive averages, but Atromitos has a slightly better recent form with two wins in their last five compared to Panetolikos's one win.
Key Factors: 1. Head-to-head history strongly favors Atromitos with 7 wins out of the last 10 meetings, compared to Panetolikos's 3 wins, indicating a psychological and performance edge for the away team. 2. League standings show Atromitos in 9th place with 29 points and a -4 goal difference, while Panetolikos is in 11th with 26 points and a -14 goal difference, giving Atromitos a slight advantage in overall quality and defensive stability. 3. Home advantage for Panetolikos is rated at 0.55 on a 0-1 scale, which provides a minor boost but is insufficient to overcome the other factors favoring Atromitos.
Conclusion: The data-driven verdict points to Atromitos as the most likely winner, supported by their superior head-to-head record, better league position, and alignment between market and model probabilities, despite Panetolikos's home advantage and similar recent form.