Almeria vs Burgos
Result • Segunda División
Almeria
Burgos
Oracle's Vision
"The Oracle sees Almeria's stars shining through the rain, with ancient wisdom revealing their form and history as keys to victory in this Segunda División clash."
AI Analysis & Prediction Review
Detailed Analysis
Based on the structured data, Almeria is predicted to win this match, with a 54% probability from bookmaker odds and API-Football's predicted winner also being Almeria, though with a lower home win probability of 45%.
Form Analysis: Almeria's recent form of WDLWW shows strong performance with 33 goals for and 22 against, while Burgos has LLLWD with 21 goals for and 16 against, indicating Almeria has better momentum and attacking output.
Key Factors: 1. Almeria holds a higher league position (3rd vs 7th) with a 7-point and +11 GD advantage, suggesting superior overall quality. 2. Head-to-head history favors Almeria with 3 wins in the last 5 meetings, providing a psychological edge. 3. Weather conditions with strong impact and rain may favor a physical style, which could benefit Almeria given their higher goal-scoring ability and home advantage rating of 0.55.
Conclusion: The data supports Almeria as the favorite due to better form, standings, and historical performance, aligning with market and model consensus, though the draw probability is notable at 26%.
Analysis & Key Battles
Almeria
Strengths
- Strong attacking output with 33 goals in recent form
- Higher league position and goal difference advantage
- Home advantage with a rating of 0.55
Weaknesses
- Recent form includes draws and losses, indicating inconsistency
- Defensive record of 22 goals against in last 5 matches
- N/A for specific weaknesses from data
Burgos
Strengths
- Decent defensive record with 16 goals against in recent form
- Promotion playoffs status shows competitive level
- N/A for additional strengths from data
Weaknesses
- Poor recent form with LLLWD, indicating low momentum
- Lower goal-scoring output with 21 goals in recent matches
- Inferior head-to-head record with 1 win in last 5 meetings
Key Player Battles
