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  1. Home
  2. Primeira Liga
  3. Estoril vs FC Porto

Estoril vs FC Porto

Prediction • Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga
Primeira Liga
12 Apr 2026
19:30
Estoril

Estoril

🏠Home
VS
VS
🏟️Stadium
Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
PREDICTED WINNER
FC Porto

FC Porto

✈️Away
🏟️Stadium
Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Win Probabilities
Home
Draw
⭐Away
🔮

Oracle's Vision

"The Oracle sees a clash where form and standings tilt the scales, yet home spirits whisper of past triumphs. Ancient wisdom reveals a narrow path for the visitors under clear skies."

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📈Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
Estoril
4/10
Form
Win Rate
40%
FC Porto
8/10
Form
Win Rate80%
Momentum Advantage
FC Porto+4.0

⚽Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Score Analysis

AI Powered
Top Predictions
1-2
15.0%
0-2
12.0%
1-1
10.0%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS
40%
Expected Goals
Total match goals
2.5

Score Predictions

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🎯Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Match Weather

13°
Clear
Wind
42 km/h
Humidity
75%
Rain
0.0 mm
Tactical Impact

Strong winds - disrupts aerial play and long passes

Confidence

67%
Data Quality85%
Form Reliability100%
H2H Available100%
Model Agreement90%

Based on data completeness, model certainty, and historical patterns.

Confidence Breakdown

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Detailed Analysis

Based on the structured data, FC Porto is predicted to win with a slight edge, as indicated by the market and model probabilities favoring them, though the margin is narrow.

Form Analysis: Estoril has a mixed form of LWDLW, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game, with a current loss streak and failing to score in 2 of last 5 games. FC Porto shows strong form with WWDWW, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded, on a 5-game unbeaten streak.

Key Factors: 1. FC Porto's superior form and goal-scoring efficiency. 2. Significant standings difference with FC Porto leading by 35 points. 3. Weather conditions favoring physical play, which may benefit FC Porto's style.

Conclusion: The data supports FC Porto as the likely winner due to better recent performance and league position, though Estoril's home advantage and head-to-head history add uncertainty.

⚡

Analysis & Key Battles

Estoril

HOME
✓
Strengths
  • Home advantage with a rating of 0.55
  • Head-to-head history shows 3 wins in last 5 meetings
  • Clean sheets in 2 of last 5 games
⚠
Weaknesses
  • Mixed recent form with LWDLW
  • Failed to score in 2 of last 5 games
  • Lower league standing at 7th place

FC Porto

AWAY
✓
Strengths
  • Strong recent form with WWDWW
  • High goal-scoring average of 2.2 per game
  • Top league position with +43 goal difference
⚠
Weaknesses
  • Two players out with injuries (M. Fernandes, G. Veiga)
  • Away game may reduce home advantage effect

Key Player Battles

⚔️Y. Begraoui vs FC Porto defense: Estoril's top scorer against Porto's solid defense, which has conceded 0.8 goals on average.
⚔️João Carvalho vs FC Porto midfield: Estoril's playmaker facing Porto's midfield in a 4-3-3 setup, crucial for creating chances.
⚔️Samu vs Estoril defense: Porto's leading scorer against Estoril's defense that has allowed 1.2 goals per game.

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Primeira Liga

League Statistics

Primeira Liga • Standings & Top Performers

📊

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
FC Porto
FC PortoAway
2723315411+4372
2
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
2620516815+5365
3
Benfica
Benfica
2719805817+4165
4
SC Braga
SC Braga
2613765327+2646
5
Famalicao
Famalicao
2713683322+1145
6
GIL Vicente
GIL Vicente
2711973928+1142
7
Estoril
EstorilHome
27107104844+437
8
Moreirense
Moreirense
27105123139-835
9
Guimaraes
Guimaraes
2795132942-1332
10
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
2779112846-1830
11
Alverca
Alverca
2778122745-1829
12
Arouca
Arouca
2785143455-2129
13
Santa Clara
Santa Clara
2777132431-728
14
Estrela
Estrela
27610113345-1228
15
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
2659122648-2224
16
Nacional
Nacional
2757152939-1022
17
Tondela
Tondela
2648141939-2020
18
AVS
AVS
2718181858-4011
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway
Estoril

Estoril

Home
Pos7
Pts37

Season Performance
(27 matches)

⚽ GF
48
1.8 per match
🥅 Conceded
44
1.6 per match
🛡️ Clean Sheets
5
19% of matches
📊 Goal Diff
+4
Overall balance

Strengths

  • Home advantage with a rating of 0.55
  • Head-to-head history shows 3 wins in last 5 meetings
  • Clean sheets in 2 of last 5 games

Weaknesses

  • Mixed recent form with LWDLW
  • Failed to score in 2 of last 5 games
  • Lower league standing at 7th place

Unavailable Players

Xeka
Unknown Injury
Out
Alejandro Orellana Gomez
injured
Out
FC Porto

FC Porto

Away
Pos1
Pts72

Season Performance
(27 matches)

⚽ GF
54
2.0 per match
🥅 Conceded
11
0.4 per match
🛡️ Clean Sheets
18
67% of matches
📊 Goal Diff
+43
Overall balance

Strengths

  • Strong recent form with WWDWW
  • High goal-scoring average of 2.2 per game
  • Top league position with +43 goal difference

Weaknesses

  • Two players out with injuries (M. Fernandes, G. Veiga)
  • Away game may reduce home advantage effect

Unavailable Players

N. Perez
Achilles Injury
Out
L. de Jong
Knee Injury
Out
Y. Karamoh
Inactive
Out
T. Perez
Achilles Injury
Out
Samu
Knee Injury
Out
M. Fernandes
Heel Injury
Doubtful
O. Pietuszewski
Inactive
Out
Samu Omorodion
Unknown Injury
Out
Thiago Silva
Inactive
Out
Pepê Aquino
Eye injury
Out
Martim Fernandes
Knee Ligament Injury
Out
A. Miranda
Inactive
Out
G. Veiga
Inactive
Doubtful

Head to Head

BEST
Estoril
6
Wins
60%
1
Draws
10%
FC Porto
3
Wins
30%

Recent Matches

Last 10
Nov302025
FC Porto
1-0
Loss
Estoril
Mar302025
Estoril
1-2
Loss
FC Porto
Nov32024
FC Porto
4-0
Loss
Estoril
Mar302024
Estoril
1-0
Win
FC Porto
Jan92024
Estoril
0-4
Loss
FC Porto
Dec62023
Estoril
3-1
Win
FC Porto
Nov32023
FC Porto
0-1
Win
Estoril
Mar102023
FC Porto
3-2
Loss
Estoril
Sept172022
Estoril
1-1
Draw
FC Porto
May142022
FC Porto
2-0
Loss
Estoril

Lineups

🔮

Predicted Lineup · High Confidence

Based on recent matches and squad availability

Tactical Matchup

4-3-3 vs 4-3-3

Mirror formation. Tactical discipline and individual quality will decide.

FC Porto
Estoril
Joel Robles
1

Robles

Pedro Amaral
24

Amaral

F. Bacher
25

Bacher

Pedro Carvalho
22

Carvalho

Gonçalo Costa
20

Costa

A. Tsoungui
5

Tsoungui

J. Holsgrove
10

Holsgrove

Jandro Orellana
6

Orellana

João Carvalho
12

Carvalho

Y. Begraoui
14

Begraoui

R. Guitane
99

Guitane

Cláudio Ramos
14

Ramos

Francisco Moura
74

Moura

J. Kiwior
4

Kiwior

Alberto Baio
20

Baio

J. Bednarek
5

Bednarek

P. Rosario
13

Rosario

Victor Mow Froholdt
8

Froholdt

S. Fofana
42

Fofana

Borja Sainz
17

Sainz

T. Moffi
29

Moffi

D. Gül
27

Gül

Estoril
FC Porto

BenchFC Porto

Diogo Costa

Diogo Costa

#99 · G

Z. Sanusi

Z. Sanusi

#12 · D

A. Varela

A. Varela

#22 · M

Gabri Veiga

Gabri Veiga

#10 · M

William

William

#7 · A

Andorinha

Andorinha

#24 · G

Gabriel Brás

Gabriel Brás

#73 · D

BenchEstoril

M. Turk

M. Turk

#16 · G

Ferro

Ferro

#4 · D

Ricard Sánchez

Ricard Sánchez

#2 · D

N. Lominadze

N. Lominadze

#7 · M

Pizzi

Pizzi

#21 · M

André Lacximicant

André Lacximicant

#19 · A

Alejandro Marqués

Alejandro Marqués

#9 · A

Injury Report

Current team availability status

Data Accuracy: Player availability is highly accurate (~90%), but specific injury diagnoses and recovery timelines may not reflect the latest medical updates (~70% accuracy).

Estoril

2Out

2 key players

FC Porto

13Out

13 key players

Estoril

Team

Estoril

Players Out

2(2 key)
Xeka

Xeka

MODERATE
Injury:Unknown Injury
🩹

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Alejandro Orellana Gomez

Alejandro Orellana Gomez

MODERATE
Injury:injured
🩹

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

FC Porto

Team

FC Porto

Players Out

13(13 key)
N. Perez

N. Perez

MODERATE
Injury:Achilles Injury
🩹

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

L. de Jong

L. de Jong

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury
🦿

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

Y. Karamoh

Y. Karamoh

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

T. Perez

T. Perez

MODERATE
Injury:Achilles Injury
🩹

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Samu

Samu

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury
🦿

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

M. Fernandes

M. Fernandes

MODERATE
Injury:Heel Injury
🩹

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

O. Pietuszewski

O. Pietuszewski

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Samu Omorodion

Samu Omorodion

MODERATE
Injury:Unknown Injury
🩹

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Thiago Silva

Thiago Silva

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Pepê Aquino

Pepê Aquino

MODERATE
Injury:Eye injury
🩹

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Martim Fernandes

Martim Fernandes

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Ligament Injury
🦿

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

A. Miranda

A. Miranda

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

G. Veiga

G. Veiga

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Estoril vs FC Porto — Expert Prediction & Analysis

The Oracle sees a clash where form and standings tilt the scales, yet home spirits whisper of past triumphs. Ancient wisdom reveals a narrow path for the visitors under clear skies.

Based on the structured data, FC Porto is predicted to win with a slight edge, as indicated by the market and model probabilities favoring them, though the margin is narrow.

Form Analysis: Estoril has a mixed form of LWDLW, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game, with a current loss streak and failing to score in 2 of last 5 games. FC Porto shows strong form with WWDWW, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded, on a 5-game unbeaten streak.

Key Factors: 1. FC Porto's superior form and goal-scoring efficiency. 2. Significant standings difference with FC Porto leading by 35 points. 3. Weather conditions favoring physical play, which may benefit FC Porto's style.

Conclusion: The data supports FC Porto as the likely winner due to better recent performance and league position, though Estoril's home advantage and head-to-head history add uncertainty.

Win Probabilities: Estoril: 33% · Draw: 33% · FC Porto: 34%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 45% · Under 2.5: 55% · BTTS: 40%

H2H: Estoril wins: 6 · Draws: 1 · FC Porto wins: 3

Form: Estoril: WLDWL · FC Porto: DWWWW

  • Y. Begraoui vs FC Porto defense: Estoril's top scorer against Porto's solid defense, which has conceded 0.8 goals on average.
  • João Carvalho vs FC Porto midfield: Estoril's playmaker facing Porto's midfield in a 4-3-3 setup, crucial for creating chances.
  • Samu vs Estoril defense: Porto's leading scorer against Estoril's defense that has allowed 1.2 goals per game.
Primeira Liga
15

Primeira Liga

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