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  1. Home
  2. Liga MX
  3. Club Queretaro vs Toluca

Club Queretaro vs Toluca

Prediction • Liga MX

Liga MX
Liga MX
4 Apr 2026
23:00
Club Queretaro

Club Queretaro

🏠Home
VS
VS
Odds
15.75
X3.90
21.55
🏟️Stadium
Estadio La Corregidora
PREDICTED WINNER
Toluca

Toluca

✈️Away
Odds
15.75
X3.90
21.55
🏟️Stadium
Estadio La Corregidora
Win Probabilities
Home
Draw
⭐Away
🔮

Oracle's Vision

"The Oracle sees Toluca's rising star outshining Queretaro's struggles, with ancient wisdom revealing a narrow victory forged from superior form and historical dominance."

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📈Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
Club Queretaro
6/10
Form
Win Rate
60%
Toluca
6/10
Form
Win Rate60%
Momentum Advantage
Even Match

⚽Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Score Analysis

AI Powered
Top Predictions
1-2
15.0%
1-1
14.0%
0-1
12.0%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS
40%
Expected Goals
Total match goals
2.4

Score Predictions

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🎯Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Match Weather

18°
Clear
Wind
2 km/h
Humidity
86%
Rain
0.0 mm
Tactical Impact

High humidity - may cause player fatigue

Confidence

41%
Data Quality85%
Form Reliability20%
H2H Available100%
Model Agreement90%

Based on data completeness, model certainty, and historical patterns.

Confidence Breakdown

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Detailed Analysis

Based on the structured data, Toluca is predicted to win this match, with a slight edge over Club Queretaro and a draw being equally plausible.

Form Analysis: Toluca's recent form of DWWWW shows strong momentum with 4 wins in their last 5 matches, while Club Queretaro's DDLLD indicates struggles with only 1 win in their last 5. Toluca has scored 69 goals and conceded 30 this season, compared to Queretaro's 27 goals for and 45 against, highlighting a significant offensive and defensive disparity.

Key Factors: 1. League standings: Toluca is 3rd with 25 points and a +12 GD, while Queretaro is 17th with 8 points and a -8 GD, indicating a 14-place and 17-point gap. 2. Head-to-head: Toluca has won 6 of the last 10 meetings, with 3 draws and 1 Queretaro win, showing historical dominance. 3. Key players: Toluca's Paulinho has 13 goals and 2 assists, providing a clear attacking threat, while Queretaro lacks standout scorers in the data.

Conclusion: The data supports Toluca as the favorite due to superior form, standings, and head-to-head record, with probabilities aligning closely to market and model predictions.

⚡

Analysis & Key Battles

Club Queretaro

HOME
✓
Strengths
  • Home advantage with a rating of 0.55
  • Recent clean sheets data not provided, but form shows resilience in draws
  • Tactical setup of 4-4-2 provides balanced structure
⚠
Weaknesses
  • Poor league position at 17th with 8 points and -8 GD
  • Low scoring rate with 27 goals for this season
  • Recent form of DDLLD indicates lack of wins and defensive issues

Toluca

AWAY
✓
Strengths
  • Strong recent form with DWWWW and 4 wins in last 5 matches
  • High offensive output with 69 goals for this season
  • Key players like Paulinho (13 goals) provide scoring threat
⚠
Weaknesses
  • Clean sheets data not provided for last 5 matches
  • Away disadvantage mitigated by strong overall performance
  • N/A

Key Player Battles

⚔️Paulinho (Toluca) vs Queretaro Defense: Paulinho's 13 goals pose a major threat to Queretaro's defense, which has conceded 45 goals this season.
⚔️Midfield Battle: Both teams use 4-4-2, so midfield control will be crucial; Toluca's form suggests they may dominate possession and create more chances.
⚔️N/A

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Club Queretaro

Club Queretaro

Home
Pos17
Pts8

Season Performance
(28 matches)

⚽ GF
27
1.0 per match
🥅 Conceded
45
1.6 per match
🛡️ Clean Sheets
7
25% of matches
📊 Goal Diff
-18
Overall balance

Strengths

  • Home advantage with a rating of 0.55
  • Recent clean sheets data not provided, but form shows resilience in draws
  • Tactical setup of 4-4-2 provides balanced structure

Weaknesses

  • Poor league position at 17th with 8 points and -8 GD
  • Low scoring rate with 27 goals for this season
  • Recent form of DDLLD indicates lack of wins and defensive issues

Unavailable Players

A. Ávila
Wound
Out
F. Lértora
Calf Injury
Out
G. Allison
Muscle Injury
Out
Toluca

Toluca

Away
Pos3
Pts26

Season Performance
(35 matches)

⚽ GF
70
2.0 per match
🥅 Conceded
31
0.9 per match
🛡️ Clean Sheets
13
37% of matches
📊 Goal Diff
+39
Overall balance

Strengths

  • Strong recent form with DWWWW and 4 wins in last 5 matches
  • High offensive output with 69 goals for this season
  • Key players like Paulinho (13 goals) provide scoring threat

Weaknesses

  • Clean sheets data not provided for last 5 matches
  • Away disadvantage mitigated by strong overall performance
  • N/A

Head to Head

BEST
Club Queretaro
6
Wins
60%
3
Draws
30%
Toluca
1
Wins
10%

Recent Matches

Last 10
Oct182025
Toluca
4-0
Loss
Club Queretaro
Feb272025
Toluca
5-0
Loss
Club Queretaro
Oct192024
Club Queretaro
0-1
Loss
Toluca
Jan132024
Club Queretaro
2-2
Draw
Toluca
Oct82023
Toluca
3-1
Loss
Club Queretaro
Mar62023
Club Queretaro
1-0
Win
Toluca
Oct22022
Toluca
4-1
Loss
Club Queretaro
Feb252022
Club Queretaro
1-1
Draw
Toluca
Oct32021
Toluca
1-1
Draw
Club Queretaro
Jan102021
Toluca
3-1
Loss
Club Queretaro

Lineups

🔮

Predicted Lineup · High Confidence

Based on recent matches and squad availability

Tactical Matchup

4-4-2 vs 4-4-2

Traditional setup. Set pieces and counter-attacks key.

Toluca
Club Queretaro
J. Hernández
1

Hernández

L. Abascia
2

Abascia

B. Duarte
22

Duarte

J. Gómez
12

Gómez

D. Parra
27

Parra

E. Armenta
13

Armenta

M. Carcelén
55

Carcelén

Carlo Adriano
4

Adriano

J. Julio
7

Julio

J. Cazares
190

Cazares

E. Pérez
26

Pérez

L. García
22

García

J. Gallardo
20

Gallardo

B. Méndez
4

Méndez

A. Briseño
3

Briseño

D. Barbosa
2

Barbosa

N. Castro
8

Castro

V. Arteaga
33

Arteaga

F. Arce
24

Arce

J. Angulo
10

Angulo

Paulinho
26

Paulinho

J. Díaz
29

Díaz

Club Queretaro
Toluca

BenchToluca

H. González

H. González

#1 · G

M. Isaís

M. Isaís

#17 · D

Luan

Luan

#13 · D

F. Pereira

F. Pereira

#6 · D

E. López

E. López

#25 · D

S. Simón

S. Simón

#19 · D

S. Córdova

S. Córdova

#7 · M

BenchClub Queretaro

D. Reyes

D. Reyes

#9 · D

W. Madrid

W. Madrid

#29 · M

B. Parra

B. Parra

#8 · M

F. González

F. González

#21 · M

M. Coronel

M. Coronel

#37 · M

J. Robles

J. Robles

#23 · M

L. Rodríguez

L. Rodríguez

#10 · M

Injury Report

Current team availability status

Data Accuracy: Player availability is highly accurate (~90%), but specific injury diagnoses and recovery timelines may not reflect the latest medical updates (~70% accuracy).

Club Queretaro

3Out

3 key players

Club Queretaro

Team

Club Queretaro

Players Out

3(3 key)
A. Ávila

A. Ávila

MODERATE
Injury:Wound
🩹

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

F. Lértora

F. Lértora

MODERATE
Injury:Calf Injury
🩹

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

G. Allison

G. Allison

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury
🦵

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Club Queretaro vs Toluca — Expert Prediction & Analysis

The Oracle sees Toluca's rising star outshining Queretaro's struggles, with ancient wisdom revealing a narrow victory forged from superior form and historical dominance.

Based on the structured data, Toluca is predicted to win this match, with a slight edge over Club Queretaro and a draw being equally plausible.

Form Analysis: Toluca's recent form of DWWWW shows strong momentum with 4 wins in their last 5 matches, while Club Queretaro's DDLLD indicates struggles with only 1 win in their last 5. Toluca has scored 69 goals and conceded 30 this season, compared to Queretaro's 27 goals for and 45 against, highlighting a significant offensive and defensive disparity.

Key Factors: 1. League standings: Toluca is 3rd with 25 points and a +12 GD, while Queretaro is 17th with 8 points and a -8 GD, indicating a 14-place and 17-point gap. 2. Head-to-head: Toluca has won 6 of the last 10 meetings, with 3 draws and 1 Queretaro win, showing historical dominance. 3. Key players: Toluca's Paulinho has 13 goals and 2 assists, providing a clear attacking threat, while Queretaro lacks standout scorers in the data.

Conclusion: The data supports Toluca as the favorite due to superior form, standings, and head-to-head record, with probabilities aligning closely to market and model predictions.

Win Probabilities: Club Queretaro: 32% · Draw: 33% · Toluca: 35%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 45% · Under 2.5: 55% · BTTS: 40%

H2H: Club Queretaro wins: 6 · Draws: 3 · Toluca wins: 1

Form: Club Queretaro: WWDLW · Toluca: WWDLW

  • Paulinho (Toluca) vs Queretaro Defense: Paulinho's 13 goals pose a major threat to Queretaro's defense, which has conceded 45 goals this season.
  • Midfield Battle: Both teams use 4-4-2, so midfield control will be crucial; Toluca's form suggests they may dominate possession and create more chances.
  • N/A
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