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  1. Home
  2. Liga 1
  3. FBC Melgar vs Cusco

FBC Melgar vs Cusco

Prediction • Liga 1

Liga 1
Liga 1
4 Apr 2026
20:30
FBC Melgar

FBC Melgar

🏠Home
VS
VS
🏟️Stadium
Estadio Monumental Virgen de Chapi
PREDICTED WINNER
Cusco

Cusco

✈️Away
🏟️Stadium
Estadio Monumental Virgen de Chapi
Win Probabilities
Home
Draw
⭐Away
🔮

Oracle's Vision

"The Oracle sees rain-soaked battles favoring the disciplined traveler. Ancient wisdom reveals form over fortune in this clash."

Share Prediction

📈Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
FBC Melgar
0/10
Form
Win Rate
0%
Cusco
6/10
Form
Win Rate60%
Momentum Advantage
Cusco+6.0

⚽Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Score Analysis

AI Powered
Top Predictions
1-2
15.0%
1-1
14.0%
0-1
12.0%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS
45%
Expected Goals
Total match goals
2.3

Score Predictions

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🎯Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Match Weather

24°
Patchy rain nearby
Wind
3 km/h
Humidity
79%
Rain
1.2 mm
Tactical Impact

Heavy rain - slippery pitch favors physical play and long balls

Confidence

59%
Data Quality85%
Form Reliability33%
H2H Available100%
Model Agreement90%

Based on data completeness, model certainty, and historical patterns.

Confidence Breakdown

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Detailed Analysis

Based on the structured data, the predicted outcome is a slight away win for Cusco, as indicated by the market probabilities (34% away win) and model probabilities (45% away win with predicted winner Cusco).

Form Analysis: FBC Melgar has a form of DDLLL with an average of 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 goals conceded per match, showing defensive vulnerabilities and a 2-draw streak. Cusco has a form of WLWLW with an average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded per match, indicating better offensive efficiency and a 1-win streak.

Key Factors: 1. Cusco's superior recent form with higher goal-scoring average and lower goals conceded compared to FBC Melgar. 2. Head-to-head history favors Cusco with 4 wins in the last 5 meetings. 3. Weather impact is strong with patchy rain, which may favor a physical style, potentially benefiting Cusco given their tactical setup.

Conclusion: The data suggests Cusco has a slight edge due to better form and historical performance, leading to a predicted away win, though probabilities are close, indicating a low-confidence prediction.

⚡

Analysis & Key Battles

FBC Melgar

HOME
✓
Strengths
  • Home advantage with rating 0.55
  • 3-4-3 formation may offer attacking width
  • Recent draws show resilience in close matches
⚠
Weaknesses
  • Poor recent form with DDLLL
  • High average goals conceded (1.8 per match)
  • Low goal-scoring average (0.8 per match)

Cusco

AWAY
✓
Strengths
  • Better recent form with WLWLW
  • Higher goal-scoring average (1.6 per match)
  • Head-to-head advantage with 4 wins in last 5 meetings
⚠
Weaknesses
  • Away from home, though home advantage is moderate
  • Defensive record shows 1.2 goals conceded per match
  • Inconsistent form with alternating wins and losses

Key Player Battles

⚔️N/A vs N/A: Key matchup details not available due to lack of player statistics
⚔️N/A vs N/A: Key matchup details not available due to lack of player statistics
⚔️N/A vs N/A: Key matchup details not available due to lack of player statistics

Premium Analysis

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Liga 1

League Statistics

Liga 1 • Standings & Top Performers

📊

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Alianza Lima
Alianza Lima
8620124+820
2
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
86201710+720
3
Cienciano
Cienciano
85121910+916
4
Universitario
Universitario
8431117+415
5
UTC Cajamarca
UTC Cajamarca
8422119+214
6
Sporting Cristal
Sporting Cristal
83231511+411
7
FBC Melgar
FBC MelgarHome
83231210+211
8
Comerciantes Unidos
Comerciantes Unidos
83231212011
9
Alianza Atletico
Alianza Atletico
824276+110
10
Cusco
CuscoAway
831499010
11
Juan Pablo II College
Juan Pablo II College
83141320-710
12
ADT
ADT
823379-29
13
Sport Boys
Sport Boys
822469-38
14
Deportivo Garcilaso
Deportivo Garcilaso
814368-27
15
Sport Huancayo
Sport Huancayo
8215812-47
16
UCV Moquegua
UCV Moquegua
8215614-87
17
Atletico Grau
Atletico Grau
813438-56
18
FC Cajamarca
FC Cajamarca
81251016-65
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway
FBC Melgar

FBC Melgar

Home
Pos7
Pts25

Season Performance
(8 matches)

⚽ GF
12
1.5 per match
🥅 Conceded
10
1.3 per match
🛡️ Clean Sheets
3
38% of matches
📊 Goal Diff
+2
Overall balance

Strengths

  • Home advantage with rating 0.55
  • 3-4-3 formation may offer attacking width
  • Recent draws show resilience in close matches

Weaknesses

  • Poor recent form with DDLLL
  • High average goals conceded (1.8 per match)
  • Low goal-scoring average (0.8 per match)
Cusco

Cusco

Away
Pos2
Pts36

Season Performance
(0 matches)

⚽ GF
0
0.0 per match
🥅 Conceded
0
0.0 per match
🛡️ Clean Sheets
0
NaN% of matches
📊 Goal Diff
0
Overall balance

Strengths

  • Better recent form with WLWLW
  • Higher goal-scoring average (1.6 per match)
  • Head-to-head advantage with 4 wins in last 5 meetings

Weaknesses

  • Away from home, though home advantage is moderate
  • Defensive record shows 1.2 goals conceded per match
  • Inconsistent form with alternating wins and losses

Head to Head

BEST
FBC Melgar
4
Wins
44%
3
Draws
33%
Cusco
2
Wins
22%

Recent Matches

Last 9
Jul272025
FBC Melgar
0-2
Loss
Cusco
Feb142025
Cusco
0-1
Win
FBC Melgar
Jul142024
Cusco
0-3
Win
FBC Melgar
Jan272024
FBC Melgar
2-3
Loss
Cusco
Aug192023
Cusco
1-1
Draw
FBC Melgar
Apr12023
FBC Melgar
1-1
Draw
Cusco
Aug42021
FBC Melgar
2-2
Draw
Cusco
Oct232020
Cusco
3-1
Loss
FBC Melgar
Feb222020
Cusco
3-1
Loss
FBC Melgar

Lineups

🔮

Predicted Lineup · High Confidence

Based on recent matches and squad availability

Tactical Matchup

3-4-3 vs 3-2-4-1

Tactical matchup will test both managers' adaptability.

Cusco
FBC Melgar
J. Cabezudo
21

Cabezudo

A. Deneumostier
5

Deneumostier

J. Escobar
23

Escobar

J. Alcántar
90

Alcántar

H. Orzán
66

Orzán

J. Salas
6

Salas

W. Tandazo
24

Tandazo

G. Bernaola
20

Bernaola

J. Cáceres
16

Cáceres

B. Cuesta
9

Cuesta

J. D´Arrigo
80

D´Arrigo

P. Díaz
28

Díaz

J. Bolívar
15

Bolívar

Julinho Astudillo
32

Astudillo

Á. Ampuero
6

Ampuero

C. Diez
14

Diez

G. Carabajal
27

Carabajal

O. Valenzuela
16

Valenzuela

D. Soto
88

Soto

S. Quillahuaman
30

Quillahuaman

A. Fuentes
8

Fuentes

J. D. Ali Gutierrez
17

Gutierrez

FBC Melgar
Cusco

BenchCusco

A. Vidal

A. Vidal

#13 · G

G. Choi

G. Choi

#37 · D

C. Gamarra

C. Gamarra

#2 · D

M. Ruidías

M. Ruidías

#24 · D

J. Zevallos

J. Zevallos

#21 · D

F. Callejo

F. Callejo

#9 · A

J. Herrera

J. Herrera

#77 · A

BenchFBC Melgar

C. Cáceda

C. Cáceda

#12 · G

M. Lazo

M. Lazo

#33 · D

A. Ramos

A. Ramos

#4 · D

J. De Santis

J. De Santis

#17 · A

P. Erustes

P. Erustes

#22 · A

L. Guzmán

L. Guzmán

#8 · A

N. Quagliata

N. Quagliata

#10 · A

No Reported Injuries

Both teams have a clean bill of health

FBC Melgar vs Cusco — Expert Prediction & Analysis

The Oracle sees rain-soaked battles favoring the disciplined traveler. Ancient wisdom reveals form over fortune in this clash.

Based on the structured data, the predicted outcome is a slight away win for Cusco, as indicated by the market probabilities (34% away win) and model probabilities (45% away win with predicted winner Cusco).

Form Analysis: FBC Melgar has a form of DDLLL with an average of 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 goals conceded per match, showing defensive vulnerabilities and a 2-draw streak. Cusco has a form of WLWLW with an average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded per match, indicating better offensive efficiency and a 1-win streak.

Key Factors: 1. Cusco's superior recent form with higher goal-scoring average and lower goals conceded compared to FBC Melgar. 2. Head-to-head history favors Cusco with 4 wins in the last 5 meetings. 3. Weather impact is strong with patchy rain, which may favor a physical style, potentially benefiting Cusco given their tactical setup.

Conclusion: The data suggests Cusco has a slight edge due to better form and historical performance, leading to a predicted away win, though probabilities are close, indicating a low-confidence prediction.

Win Probabilities: FBC Melgar: 33% · Draw: 33% · Cusco: 34%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 40% · Under 2.5: 60% · BTTS: 45%

H2H: FBC Melgar wins: 4 · Draws: 3 · Cusco wins: 2

Form: FBC Melgar: LLLDD · Cusco: WLWLW

  • N/A vs N/A: Key matchup details not available due to lack of player statistics
  • N/A vs N/A: Key matchup details not available due to lack of player statistics
  • N/A vs N/A: Key matchup details not available due to lack of player statistics
Liga 1
12

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