Based on the data, Real Madrid is predicted to win with a slight edge, as indicated by the market and model probabilities showing 34% for an away win, compared to 33% each for a home win and draw.
Form Analysis: Real Madrid has a 4-win streak and averages 2.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded in their last 5 matches, with 1 clean sheet. Mallorca has a 1-win streak, averages 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, and has 0 clean sheets in their last 5 matches.
Key Factors: 1. Real Madrid's strong form with 4 consecutive wins and better goal metrics. 2. Significant standings difference: Real Madrid is 2nd with 66 points and +36 GD, while Mallorca is 16th with 28 points and -12 GD. 3. Head-to-head history favors Real Madrid with 8 wins in the last 5 meetings.
Conclusion: The data supports Real Madrid as the favorite due to superior form, league position, and historical performance, though probabilities are close, indicating a competitive match.