Based on the structured data, Sarpsborg 08 FF is predicted to win, as indicated by the API-Football model's predicted winner and higher home win probability, despite market probabilities showing a slight edge for Start. The market probabilities are close, with home_win at 33%, draw at 33%, and away_win at 34%, while the model gives home_win 50%, draw 50%, and away_win 34%. Adjusting within 10% of market probabilities, Sarpsborg 08 FF is favored due to form and home advantage.
Form Analysis: Sarpsborg 08 FF has a win in their last match, with 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, indicating strong defense. Start has a draw and loss in their last two matches, with no clean sheets in the last 5 and higher average goals conceded (2.0 vs. 0.8).
Key Factors: 1. Sarpsborg 08 FF's defensive strength with 3 clean sheets in last 5 games. 2. Home advantage with a rating of 0.55. 3. Head-to-head history shows Sarpsborg 08 FF with 5 wins in last 5 meetings, though Start has 2 wins overall.
Conclusion: Data supports Sarpsborg 08 FF as the likely winner, with probabilities adjusted to respect market data while considering form and home advantage.