Based on the data, Mlada Boleslav is predicted to win, as indicated by the API-Football model's predicted winner and higher home win probability, while market probabilities show a close contest with a slight edge to Dukla Praha.
Form Analysis: Mlada Boleslav has a 5-game unbeaten streak with 4 clean sheets in the last 5 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.4 conceded, showing strong defensive form. Dukla Praha has a 3-game unbeaten streak with 3 clean sheets in the last 5 matches, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded, indicating solid defense but lower offensive output. Both teams have struggled to score at times, with Mlada Boleslav failing to score in 2 of last 5 and Dukla Praha in 3 of last 5.
Key Factors: 1. Mlada Boleslav's superior recent form and defensive record, with 4 clean sheets in 5 games, provide a momentum advantage. 2. Home advantage rating of 0.55 suggests a moderate boost for Mlada Boleslav. 3. League standings show Mlada Boleslav 3 places and 8 points ahead of Dukla Praha, indicating better overall performance this season.
Conclusion: The data supports Mlada Boleslav as the likely winner due to stronger form, home advantage, and league position, despite market odds being close.